Newcastle United v Brentford, Premier League 2023–24
NewcastleNewcastle United
Wilson 64' penalty
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.4 to 1.1
BrentfordBrentford
- Date Saturday, September 16, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 54%, draw 21%, Brentford win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||