Newcastle United v Burnley, Premier League 2023–24
NewcastleNewcastle United
Almirón 14'Isak 76' penalty
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 2.6 to 0.8
BurnleyBurnley
- Date Saturday, September 30, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 80%, draw 12%, Burnley win 8%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||