Newcastle United v Manchester City, Premier League 2023–24
NewcastleNewcastle United
Isak 35'Gordon 37'
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 1.8 to 3.3
Man CityManchester City
Silva 26'De Bruyne 74'Bobb 90+1'
- Date Saturday, January 13, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 13. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Newcastle win 31%, draw 22%, Man City win 47%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 3.3 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 0.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||