Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest
Aina 5'Mangala 47'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 0.4 to 1.1
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Sunday, November 5, 2023
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Nott'm Forest win 28%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 49%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Nott'm Forest | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||