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Nottingham Forest v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2023–24

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Elanga 3'Gibbs-White 76' penalty

Final score 2 to 3

Expected goals 2.6 to 1.5

Full time

BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion

Ferguson 26'Pedro 45+4', 58' penalty

Win chances: Brighton favored. Nott'm Forest win 27%, draw 22%, Brighton win 51%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Nott'm Forest and Brighton
Nott'm ForestBrighton
2.61.5
2Goals3
2.00.8