Tottenham Hotspur v Arsenal, Premier League 2023–24
TottenhamTottenham Hotspur
Romero 64'Heung-Min 87' penalty
Final score 2 to 3
Expected goals 2.4 to 1.4
ArsenalArsenal
Højbjerg 15' (OG)Saka 27'Havertz 38'
- Date Sunday, April 28, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Tottenham win 23%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 55%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Tottenham | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.8 | ||