West Ham United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2023–24
West HamWest Ham United
Antonio 29'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 0.9
Aston VillaAston Villa
Zaniolo 79'
- Date Sunday, March 17, 2024
- Premier League 2023–24
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 17. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. West Ham win 36%, draw 23%, Aston Villa win 41%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| West Ham | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||