Arsenal v Chelsea, Premier League 2024–25
ArsenalArsenal
Merino 20'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.3 to 0.4
ChelseaChelsea
- Date Sunday, March 16, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 61%, draw 21%, Chelsea win 18%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||