Arsenal v Newcastle United, Premier League 2024–25
ArsenalArsenal
Rice 55'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.0 to 1.8
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Sunday, May 18, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 54%, draw 22%, Newcastle win 24%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.8 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||