Arsenal v Southampton, Premier League 2024–25
ArsenalArsenal
Havertz 58'Martinelli 68'Saka 88'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 3.4 to 0.9
SouthamptonSouthampton
Archer 55'
- Date Saturday, October 5, 2024
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 87%, draw 9%, Southampton win 4%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Southampton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||