Aston Villa v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2024–25
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 36' penaltyRogers 47'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 2.5 to 1.1
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Adingra 12'Lamptey 81'
- Date Monday, December 30, 2024
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 46%, draw 25%, Brighton win 29%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||