Aston Villa v Leicester City, Premier League 2024–25
Aston VillaAston Villa
Barkley 58'Bailey 76'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.8 to 0.5
LeicesterLeicester City
Mavididi 63'
- Date Saturday, January 4, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 68%, draw 19%, Leicester win 13%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Leicester | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||