Aston Villa v Manchester City, Premier League 2024–25
Aston VillaAston Villa
Durán 16'Rogers 65'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.3 to 0.6
Man CityManchester City
Foden 90+3'
- Date Saturday, December 21, 2024
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Aston Villa win 30%, draw 24%, Man City win 46%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||