Aston Villa v Newcastle United, Premier League 2024–25
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 1'Maatsen 64'Burn 73' (OG)Onana 75'
Final score 4 to 1
Expected goals 2.4 to 1.0
NewcastleNewcastle United
Schär 18'
- Date Saturday, April 19, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Aston Villa win 36%, draw 23%, Newcastle win 41%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||