Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal, Premier League 2024–25
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Pedro 61' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.5 to 0.9
ArsenalArsenal
Nwaneri 16'
- Date Saturday, January 4, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Brighton win 19%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 56%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brighton | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||