Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle United, Premier League 2024–25
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Minteh 28'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 0.5 to 2.0
NewcastleNewcastle United
Isak 89' penalty
- Date Sunday, May 4, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 4. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Brighton win 35%, draw 22%, Newcastle win 43%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brighton | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.0 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.4 | ||