Chelsea v Aston Villa, Premier League 2024–25
ChelseaChelsea
Jackson 7'Fernández 36'Palmer 83'
Final score 3 to 0
Expected goals 1.7 to 1.3
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Sunday, December 1, 2024
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 53%, draw 22%, Aston Villa win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||