Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2024–25
ChelseaChelsea
Palmer 21', 28' penalty, 31', 41'
Final score 4 to 2
Expected goals 3.1 to 1.2
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Rutter 7'Baleba 34'
- Date Saturday, September 28, 2024
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 53%, draw 22%, Brighton win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Chelsea | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||