Everton v Arsenal, Premier League 2024–25
EvertonEverton
Ndiaye 49' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.0 to 2.3
ArsenalArsenal
Trossard 34'
- Date Saturday, April 5, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Everton win 19%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 56%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Everton | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.3 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.2 | ||