Liverpool v Arsenal, Premier League 2024–25
LiverpoolLiverpool
Gakpo 20'Díaz 21'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.4
ArsenalArsenal
Martinelli 47'Merino 70'
- Date Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 43%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 32%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Liverpool | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||