Manchester City v Arsenal, Premier League 2024–25
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 9'Stones 90+8'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 2.5 to 0.8
ArsenalArsenal
Calafiori 22'Magalhães 45+1'
- Date Sunday, September 22, 2024
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 46%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 27%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||