Manchester City v Aston Villa, Premier League 2024–25
Man CityManchester City
Silva 7'Nunes 90+4'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.4 to 1.7
Aston VillaAston Villa
Rashford 18' penalty
- Date Tuesday, April 22, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 57%, draw 21%, Aston Villa win 22%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||