Manchester City v Brighton & Hove Albion, Premier League 2024–25
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 11' penaltyMarmoush 39'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.6
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Estupiñán 21'Khusanov 48' (OG)
- Date Saturday, March 15, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 15. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 58%, draw 21%, Brighton win 21%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man City | Brighton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||