Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League 2024–25
Man UnitedManchester United
Diallo 76'Eriksen 87' penalty
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 3.0 to 0.7
Aston VillaAston Villa
- Date Sunday, May 25, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 25. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Man United win 32%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 44%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 25. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Man United | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||