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Manchester United v Chelsea, Premier League 2024–25

Man UnitedManchester United

Fernandes 70' penalty

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.2

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Caicedo 74'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Man United win 35%, draw 22%, Chelsea win 43%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Chelsea
Man UnitedChelsea
1.81.2
1Goals1
1.81.0