Newcastle United v Chelsea, Premier League 2024–25
NewcastleNewcastle United
Tonali 2'Guimarães 90'
Final score 2 to 0
Expected goals 2.1 to 0.6
ChelseaChelsea
- Date Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Newcastle win 46%, draw 22%, Chelsea win 32%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Chelsea | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.6 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.5 | ||