Newcastle United v Manchester City, Premier League 2024–25
NewcastleNewcastle United
Gordon 58' penalty
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.6 to 1.6
Man CityManchester City
Gvardiol 35'
- Date Saturday, September 28, 2024
- Premier League 2024–25
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Newcastle win 23%, draw 22%, Man City win 55%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Newcastle | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.3 | ||