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Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United, Premier League 2024–25

Nott'm ForestNottingham Forest

Murillo 22'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 0.9 to 2.5

Full time

NewcastleNewcastle United

Isak 54'Joelinton 72'Barnes 83'

Win chances: Nott'm Forest favored. Nott'm Forest win 38%, draw 26%, Newcastle win 36%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Nott'm Forest and Newcastle
Nott'm ForestNewcastle
0.92.5
1Goals3
0.52.4