Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2025–26
ArsenalArsenal
Gyökeres 35' penalty
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 2.1 to 0.9
BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
Kroupi 17'Scott 74'
- Date Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 11. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 64%, draw 22%, Bournemouth win 14%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Bournemouth | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 2.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||