Arsenal v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
ArsenalArsenal
Havertz 37'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.3 to 0.4
BurnleyBurnley
- Date Monday, May 18, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 84%, draw 12%, Burnley win 4%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.6 | ||