Arsenal v Leeds United, Premier League 2025–26
ArsenalArsenal
Timber 34', 56'Saka 45+1'Gyökeres 48', 90+5' penalty
Final score 5 to 0
Expected goals 3.5 to 0.1
LeedsLeeds United
- Date Saturday, August 23, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 23. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 47%, draw 26%, Leeds win 27%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Leeds | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.1 | ||
| 5 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.1 | ||