Arsenal v Manchester City, Premier League 2025–26
ArsenalArsenal
Martinelli 90+3'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.3 to 1.2
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 9'
- Date Sunday, September 21, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 50%, draw 25%, Man City win 25%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||