Aston Villa v Brentford, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 3.4 to 0.7
BrentfordBrentford
Ouattara 45+1'
- Date Sunday, February 1, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 41%, draw 26%, Brentford win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.7 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.2 | ||