Aston Villa v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Final score 0 to 3
Expected goals 1.1 to 1.4
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Mateta 21' penaltyGuéhi 68'Sarr 78'
- Date Sunday, August 31, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 31. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 42%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace win 33%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Crystal Palace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 1.2 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||