Aston Villa v Everton, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 1.4 to 0.9
EvertonEverton
Barry 59'
- Date Sunday, January 18, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 50%, draw 27%, Everton win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Everton | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.0 | ||