Aston Villa v Leeds United, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Abraham 88'
Final score 1 to 1
Expected goals 1.6 to 0.9
LeedsLeeds United
Stach 31'
- Date Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 46%, draw 26%, Leeds win 28%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Leeds | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.9 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.9 | ||