Aston Villa v Liverpool, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Rogers 42'Watkins 57', 73'McGinn 89'
Final score 4 to 2
Expected goals 1.8 to 1.5
LiverpoolLiverpool
van Dijk 52', 90+2'
- Date Friday, May 15, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 15. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Liverpool favored. Aston Villa win 34%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 40%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 15. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Liverpool | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||