Aston Villa v Manchester City, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Cash 19'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 1.0 to 1.4
Man CityManchester City
- Date Sunday, October 26, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 26. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Aston Villa win 27%, draw 25%, Man City win 48%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.4 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 1.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.6 | ||