Aston Villa v Manchester United, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Rogers 45', 57'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 1.2 to 1.0
Man UnitedManchester United
Cunha 45+3'
- Date Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 21. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 44%, draw 24%, Man United win 32%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Man United | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.2 | ||