Aston Villa v Newcastle United, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Final score 0 to 0
Expected goals 0.3 to 1.2
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Saturday, August 16, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Aston Villa win 37%, draw 23%, Newcastle win 40%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.2 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.1 | ||