Aston Villa v Sunderland, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Watkins 2', 36'Rogers 46'Abraham 90+3'
Final score 4 to 3
Expected goals 2.6 to 1.3
SunderlandSunderland
Rigg 9'Hume 86'Isidor 87'
- Date Sunday, April 19, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 19. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 48%, draw 29%, Sunderland win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Sunderland | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.6 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.3 | ||
| 4 | Goals | 3 | ||
| 2.1 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.7 | ||