Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur, Premier League 2025–26
Aston VillaAston Villa
Buendía 90+6'
Final score 1 to 2
Expected goals 0.4 to 1.0
TottenhamTottenham Hotspur
Gallagher 12'Richarlison 25'
- Date Sunday, May 3, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 3. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Aston Villa win 52%, draw 25%, Tottenham win 23%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Aston Villa | Tottenham | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||