Brentford v Burnley, Premier League 2025–26
BrentfordBrentford
Thiago 81' penalty, 86'Ouattara 90+2'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 3.5 to 1.0
BurnleyBurnley
Flemming 85' penalty
- Date Saturday, November 29, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 29. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brentford favored. Brentford win 77%, draw 14%, Burnley win 9%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brentford | Burnley | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.6 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.3 | ||