Brentford v Manchester City, Premier League 2025–26
BrentfordBrentford
Final score 0 to 1
Expected goals 0.5 to 0.8
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 9'
- Date Sunday, October 5, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Brentford win 29%, draw 24%, Man City win 47%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brentford | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.8 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.6 | ||