Brentford v Newcastle United, Premier League 2025–26
BrentfordBrentford
Schade 56'Thiago 78' penalty, 90+5'
Final score 3 to 1
Expected goals 2.2 to 0.5
NewcastleNewcastle United
Barnes 27'
- Date Sunday, November 9, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 9. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brentford favored. Brentford win 39%, draw 24%, Newcastle win 37%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brentford | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 2.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||