Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester City, Premier League 2025–26
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Milner 67' penaltyGruda 89'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 2.1 to 2.2
Man CityManchester City
Haaland 34'
- Date Sunday, August 31, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 31. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Brighton win 30%, draw 23%, Man City win 47%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 31. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brighton | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 2.2 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 1.3 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.5 | ||