Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle United, Premier League 2025–26
BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion
Welbeck 41', 84'
Final score 2 to 1
Expected goals 0.9 to 1.6
NewcastleNewcastle United
Woltemade 76'
- Date Saturday, October 18, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Newcastle favored. Brighton win 34%, draw 24%, Newcastle win 42%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Brighton | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 1 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.9 | ||