Burnley v Arsenal, Premier League 2025–26
BurnleyBurnley
Final score 0 to 2
Expected goals 0.4 to 1.6
ArsenalArsenal
Gyökeres 14'Rice 35'
- Date Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Burnley win 9%, draw 16%, Arsenal win 75%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.6 | ||
| 0 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 0.5 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.3 | ||