Burnley v Aston Villa, Premier League 2025–26
BurnleyBurnley
Anthony 8'Flemming 58'
Final score 2 to 2
Expected goals 1.3 to 1.9
Aston VillaAston Villa
Barkley 42'Watkins 56'
- Date Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 10. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Burnley win 21%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 54%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Aston Villa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.9 | ||
| 2 | Goals | 2 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||