Burnley v Brentford, Premier League 2025–26
BurnleyBurnley
Kayode 45+3' (OG)Anthony 47'Flemming 60'
Final score 3 to 4
Expected goals 1.1 to 1.7
BrentfordBrentford
Damsgaard 9', 90+3'Thiago 25'Schade 34'
- Date Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Premier League 2025–26
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 28. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Brentford favored. Burnley win 18%, draw 23%, Brentford win 59%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 28. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Brentford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||